ape simulation example II

Simulated data

Aggregated simulated data

Unscheduled data

Posterior marginals
Reproduction number
Prevalence
Summary statistics and effective sample size
varnames mean sd effective_size
1 llhd 36.35 1.25 5000.00
2 birth_rate 0.19 0.01 4467.38
3 sampling_rate 0.01 0.00 5000.00
4 omega_rate 0.04 0.01 5567.48
5 nb_r 128.82 10.29 5535.78
6 nb_p 0.79 0.03 5581.91
Posterior SPLOM
MCMC traceplot

Aggregated data

Posterior marginals
Prevalence
Summary statistics and effective sample size
varnames mean sd effective_size
1 llhd 436.60 1.25 2253.22
2 birth_rate 0.19 0.01 4595.78
3 rho_prob 0.01 0.00 1399.91
4 nu_prob 0.17 0.03 716.60
5 nb_r 173.09 7.83 767.97
6 nb_p 0.77 0.04 753.37
Posterior SPLOM
MCMC traceplot